Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 26/9/20072008 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 (EX-GULA) 2.A POSITION 2008/02/01 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.0S / 55.6E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 300 SE: 750 SO: 480 NO: 320 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2008/02/02 06 UTC: 31.5S/57.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2008/02/02 18 UTC: 35.8S/61.3E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2008/02/03 06 UTC: 40.3S/68.2E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2008/02/03 18 UTC: 44.3S/77.6E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2008/02/04 06 UTC: 45.6S/87.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2008/02/04 18 UTC: 49.9S/98.1E, MAX WIND=060KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: LAST 1358Z QUIKSCAT SWATH REVEALS THAT EX-GULA HAS DONE ITS EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AND STRONGEST WINDS MOVE AWAY FROM THE CENTER. CIRCULATION REMAINS ASYMMETRICAL DUE TO THE FAST MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. WINDS EXTENSION HAS BEEN RECALIBRATED THANKS TO THIS SCATTEROMETRY DATAS. EX-GULA KEEPS ON EVACUATING TOWARDS THE SOUTH AND ITS MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. MSLP HAS BEEN CALIBRATED THANKS TO VESSEL MEASURE ( ID:ELWPS 994 HPA AT 1200UTC) AT ABOUT 70 NM FROM THE CENTER.