Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 27/9/20072008 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 (EX-GULA) 2.A POSITION 2008/02/02 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 29.5S / 56.4E (TWENTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 982 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 320 SE: 650 SO: 480 NO: 320 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2008/02/02 12 UTC: 32.9S/59.4E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2008/02/03 00 UTC: 36.8S/64.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2008/02/03 12 UTC: 41.7S/72.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2008/02/04 00 UTC: 43.8S/81.7E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2008/02/04 12 UTC: 43.3S/89.4E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2008/02/05 00 UTC: 43.6S/98.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: LAST 1358Z QUIKSCAT AND 1728 ASCAT SWATHS CONFIRM THAT EX-GULA HAS DONE ITS EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AND STRONGEST WINDS MOVE AWAY FROM THE CENTER. CIRCULATION REMAINS ASYMMETRICAL DUE TO THE FAST MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. WINDS EXTENSION HAS BEEN RECALIBRATED THANKS TO THIS SCATTEROMETRY DATAS AND MSLP HAS BEEN RE-CALIBRATED THANKS TO 14928 BUOY MEASURE ( 985 HPA AT 2200UTC). EX-GULA KEEPS ON EVACUATING TOWARDS THE SOUTH AND ITS MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. LAST WARNING ISSUED ABOUT THIS SYSTEM, EX-GULA HOWEVER REMAINS MONITORED BY SMDSM MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) - FQIO20 FMEE.