Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 29/10/20072008 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (HONDO) 2.A POSITION 2008/02/11 AT 0600 UTC : 23.1S / 86.0E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/3.5 /W 2.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 200 SE: 300 SO: 200 NO: 180 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2008/02/11 18 UTC: 24.3S/85.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2008/02/12 06 UTC: 24.8S/84.5E, MAX WIND=035KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2008/02/12 18 UTC: 25.1S/83.2E, MAX WIND=030KT, FILLING UP. 48H: 2008/02/13 06 UTC: 24.8S/81.6E, MAX WIND=030KT, FILLING UP. 60H: 2008/02/13 18 UTC: 24.3S/80.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, FILLING UP. 72H: 2008/02/14 06 UTC: 24.1S/78.6E, MAX WIND=025KT, FILLING UP. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0 AND CI=3.5+ DEEP CONVECTION HAS TOTALLY DISAPPEARED, DUE TO LACK OF ENERGY WITH COLD SST. HONDO IS EXPECTED PROGRESSIVELY TO RECURVE SOUTHWESTWARDS THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES, WEAKENING OVER COOL SEA.