Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 30/10/20072008 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (HONDO) 2.A POSITION 2008/02/11 AT 1200 UTC : 23.7S / 85.7E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/3.0 /W 2.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 988 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 200 SE: 300 SO: 200 NO: 180 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2008/02/12 00 UTC: 24.7S/85.0E, MAX WIND=030KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2008/02/12 12 UTC: 25.1S/84.0E, MAX WIND=030KT , TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2008/02/13 00 UTC: 25.1S/82.3E, MAX WIND=030KT , FILLING UP. 48H: 2008/02/13 12 UTC: 24.7S/80.8E, MAX WIND=030KT , FILLING UP. 60H: 2008/02/14 00 UTC: 24.3S/79.3E, MAX WIND=025KT , FILLING UP. 72H: 2008/02/14 12 UTC: 24.2S/77.8E, MAX WIND=025KT , FILLING UP. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0- AND CI=3.0+ DEEP CONVECTION HAS TOTALLY DISAPPEARED, DUE TO LACK OF ENERGY WITH COLD SST. HONDO IS EXPECTED PROGRESSIVELY TO RECURVE SOUTHWESTWARDS THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES, WEAKENING OVER COOL SEA.