Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 18/13/20072008 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 13 (KAMBA) 2.A POSITION 2008/03/11 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.0S / 78.1E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.0/5.5 /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 935 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 95 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 200 SE: 400 SO: 450 NO: 170 50 KT NE: 080 SE: 150 SO: 150 NO: 080 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2008/03/11 18 UTC: 24.4S/78.4E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H: 2008/03/12 06 UTC: 27.1S/79.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2008/03/12 18 UTC: 29.4S/78.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2008/03/13 06 UTC: 30.7S/76.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2008/03/13 18 UTC: 32.2S/76.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2008/03/14 06 UTC: 32.7S/77.1E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=5.0- AND CI=5.5+ KAMBA BEGINS TO SUFFER FROM COOLER SST AND A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE UPPER LEVEL. SYSTEM SHOULD NOW BEING ON A DEFINITIVELY WEAKENING TREND ... EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SHOULD START AROUND WEDNESDAY 12.