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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47



RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/13/20072008
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 13 (KAMBA)

2.A POSITION 2008/03/11 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.6S / 78.1E
(TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/5.0 /W 2.5/18 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 960 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 75 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 150 SE: 400 SO: 450 NO: 150
50 KT NE: 080 SE: 130 SO: 130 NO: 080

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2008/03/12 00 UTC: 25.7S/77.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2008/03/12 12 UTC: 27.5S/77.9E, MAX WIND=045KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2008/03/13 00 UTC: 29.8S/76.1E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
48H: 2008/03/13 12 UTC: 31.8S/75.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
60H: 2008/03/14 00 UTC: 33.5S/75.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
72H: 2008/03/14 12 UTC: 33.9S/75.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, EXTRATROPICAL.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=3.5+ AND CI=5.0-
SYSTEM IS WEAKENING PROGRESSIVELY OVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE COOLER AND COOLER AND ALSO UNDERGOING AN INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR.
STRONGEST WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.
SYSTEM SHOULD NOW BEING ON A DEFINITIVELY WEAKENING TREND ...