Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

*************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/13/20072008 1.A FILLING DEPRESSION 13 (EX-KAMBA) 2.A POSITION 2008/03/12 AT 1200 UTC : 25.6S / 80.3E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 250 SO: 300 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1012 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2008/03/13 00 UTC: 26.9S/80.0E FILLING UP. 24H: 2008/03/13 12 UTC: 28.2S/79.5E DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY OVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE COOLER AND COOLER (LESS THAN 25 CELSIUS DEGREES FOR THE MOMENT, AND LOWER THAN 23 DEGREES CELSIUS SOUTH OF 30 SOUTH), UNDERGOING ALSO AN INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, WHICH DISORGANIZES AND PUSHSES THUNDERSTORM CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SOUTHEASTARDS. THE LLCC IS NOW TOTALLY EXPOSED NORTHWEST OF CONVECTION. STRONGEST WINDS ARE FORCATED TO EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES, REACHING 30/35 KT. IT IS THE LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION.