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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/14/20072008
1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 14 (EX-LOLA)

2.A POSITION 2008/03/26 AT 1200 UTC :



3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.0/1.5 /W 0.5/6 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1005 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2008/03/27 00 UTC: DISSIPATED.
24H: 2008/03/27 12 UTC: DISSIPATED.
36H: 2008/03/28 00 UTC: DISSIPATED.
48H: 2008/03/28 12 UTC: DISSIPATED.
60H: 2008/03/29 00 UTC: DISSIPATED.
72H: 2008/03/29 12 UTC: DISSIPATED.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=1.0 AND CI=1.5


LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOW A VERY ILL-DEFINED SYSTEM WITH MULTIPLE LLCC (A SMALL CIRCULATION IS VISIBLE NEAR 16.3S/57.3E, ANOTHER ONE NEAR 17.7S/56.5E). A THIRD ONE, ALTHOUGHT IS NOT CLEARLY SEEN, COULD BE CENTRED NEAR 18.3S AND 58.9E. CONSEQUENTLY, THIS SYSTEM IS DOWNGRADED TO A DISTURBED WEATHER AREA AND THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM.

HEAVY RAIN THAT HAS CONCERNED MARITIUS ISLAND IS CURRENTLY EASED OFF AS THE CLOUD MASS IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARDS