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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/4/20082009
1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 4 (EX-CINDA)

2.A POSITION 2008/12/21 AT 1200 UTC :


MOVEMENT : UNDETERMINED

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 15 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : NIL

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM INTENSITY DO NOT ALLOW TO LOCALISE A LOW LEVEL CENTER ANYMORE.
THUNDERY CLUSTERS ARE EXPECT TO CONCERN RODRIGUES ISLAND WITHIN THE NEXT
3 DAYS. MAURITIUS SHOULD PROBABLY BE CONCERN ON AND AFTER MONDAY AND LA
REUNION ON AND AFTER WEDNESDAY.
A RE-INTENSIFICATION IS AT THIS NOT TIME NOT EXPECTED.
STRONGER WINDS EXTEND ONLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, DUE TO THE
GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.

THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ABOUT THIS SYSTEM EXCEPT RE-INTENSIFICATION.

ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY REMAINS HOWEVER CLOSELY MONITORED ON
THE DAYLY ADVISORIES FQIO25 FMEE AT 0400Z AND AWIO20(FRENCH VERSION) AND
AWIO21( ENGLISH VERSION) AT 1200Z.