Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00 Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48 Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

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WTIO30 FMEE 101250 CCA

*************** CORRECTIVE **************
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/13/20092010
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 13 (HUBERT)

2.A POSITION 2010/03/10 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.9S / 49.1E
(TWENTY DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES
EAST)
MOVEMENT : WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) : 25 KM

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 080 SE: 100 SO: 060 NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 400 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2010/03/11 00 UTC: 21.3S/47.9E, MAX WIND=030KT , OVERLAND.
24H: 2010/03/11 12 UTC: 21.5S/46.8E OVERLAND.
36H: 2010/03/12 00 UTC: 21.6S/45.4E DISSIPATING.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=3.0-; CI=3.0-. THE MODERATE TROPICAL STORM HUBERT HAS BEEN NAMED BY THE
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MADAGASCAR AT 1200Z. MSLP HAS BEEN ADJUSTED 4
HPA HIGHER THAN NORMAL TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE HIGH ENVIRONMENTAL
PRESSURE (SET TO 1013 HPA).
CONVECTION STILL REMAINS QUITE FLUCTUATING. THE CDO VISIBLE THIS MORNING
HAS FADED AND A CURVED BANDS FEATURE TAKES PLACE. MICROWAVE IMAGERY (TRMM
AT 0854Z) SHOWS A BEGINNING OF BANDING EYE THAT JUSTIFY THE MTS STAGE.
WITH A LANDFALL EXPECTED TO OCCUR ON THE MALAGASY COAST NEXT NIGHT
(BETWEEN MANANJARY AND MAHANORO), THE SYSTEM COULD RAPIDLY DECREASE
BEYOND 36 HOURS.